Winter Watch Articles
The coat of running a low trust society and too late to correct. Chaos is starting to spread to Italy. Late stage collapse behavior on [...]
Robert Mapplethorpe: Promoting Cultural Degeneracy, Weaponizing Modern Art
October 17, 2026
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My first inadvertent glimpse of the depraved “art” of dick-pic photographer Robert Mapplethorpe (1946 – 1989, selfie) occurred while Googling images using the search term [...]
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Minsky Moment: Inside the Ai Bubble?
October 16, 2026 7Underlying video: ChatGpt– This is becoming a much more interesting Minsky story. What strikes me about this video isn’t the collapse in chip stocks. It’s the simultaneous deterioration in credit pricing, financing availability, and confidence [...] -
Fearsome Threesome: Fetzer, Hagopian and Winter
October 15, 2026 1Putin’s diesel deal with Trump embarrasses Zelensky even though it’s not going to solve our diesel problem. Trump claims Russia and Ukraine have reached “an energy cease fire”, but Zelensky says he’s never heard of [...] -
Follow-up on the Catastrophes
October 14, 2026 1Isaias alert: ILS estimate widens the credible insured-loss range 1. What changed Euler ILS Partners now estimates US$2–4 billion of industry insured losses, versus Cotality’s US$2–3 billion estimate and the roughly US$1 billion figure cited [...] -
The Minsky Moment Conversation About Housing
October 13, 2026 0UPDATE: As of this morning, 43.4% of all US homes for sale are now undergoing price cuts. This is the highest read all year, up an additional 70 basis points from this time last week. [...] -
Reaching GFC Levels of Delinquency
October 12, 2026 0I might as well starting sharing my ChatGpt notes: Note: BAA is very crowded trade. many of these masters of the universe types are playing it. This is potentially very bad news for ABS valuations, [...] -
Numerous Black Swans and the Minsky Moment
October 11, 2026 9There are currently four major catastrophes juggling simultaneously: Hurricane Isaias, Mega hurricane Simon in Mexico, Tropical Storm Rachel: Southern California and Southwest, and the Panama earthquake. Worrying update for #Hurricane #Simon. The eye is now [...] -
“Art of the Deal” Big Brain Trump Pulls Off Phony Diesel Scam With Russia
October 10, 2026 2This post is based on an analysis with Chat gpt. Big Brain claims he made a massive diesel deal with Putin to save the day in the lead up to the Midterm elections. Whether his [...]
News Around the Web
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Big Brain Trump Campaigns in Red States Before Small Canned Looking Audiences
October 18, 2026 0 -
The New York City Restaurant Closure Crisis
October 18, 2026 2 -
October 17, 2026 0
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Two Big Brain Trump’s Unqualified Hacks Canned in One Day
October 17, 2026 2 -
Early Development of “Gaza Riviera” Gets Underway
October 16, 2026 0 -
ChatGPT and Winter Discuss Who Can Rescue the Stressed Ai Buildup
October 16, 2026 1 -
Bad Overnight Sessions in Asia
October 15, 2026 0 -
Neo-Caligula’s Flakey New Press Secretary Being Quickly Revealed as Total Poser
October 15, 2026 3